The 5 prop bets to make on the 2021 NFL Draft

By Rob Rang
FOX Sports activities NFL Draft Analyst

Even the unluckiest bettor might have forecasted that when the Nevada Gaming Management Board started permitting prop bets on the annual NFL Draft again in 2017, the cash was going to start out rolling in.

In any case, the draft has turn into the second-most fashionable occasion within the NFL, behind solely the Tremendous Bowl – essentially the most extensively wager sporting occasion on the earth every year.

And that, after all, was lengthy earlier than anybody anticipated {that a} worldwide pandemic would drive us all to be that rather more inventive find leisure.

The oldsters at FOX Wager took the ball and ran with it, offering quite a lot of prop bets for the 2021 NFL Draft as alluring as any roulette wheel you’ll ever see.

What number of bets are there? The reply to that query is restricted solely by your creativeness, with 14 classes to select from, together with predicting which participant would be the first chosen at every place, which participant(s) your favourite workforce will take within the first spherical, the variety of offensive or defensive gamers chosen among the many high 32 and extra personalized bets than some rival on-line sportsbook supply for the whole NFL draft.  

We’ve ranked 5 nice bets in descending order under, beginning with a darkish horse that would pay massive, following with a parlay worthy of a celebration and ending with as positive a factor because the 2021 NFL Draft has to supply.

5. Do the 49ers (and also you) strike it wealthy with a hidden gem in Trey Lance?

Just about each interview I’ve completed within the weeks main as much as this yr’s draft has included a query in regards to the San Francisco 49ers’ goal at No. Three general. The betting favourite for this choice has swung backwards and forwards between Alabama’s Mac Jones (the present favourite at FOXBet at -162) and Ohio State’s Justin Fields (+125).

I believe both may very well be profitable in Kyle Shanahan’s scheme. He had nice success with a standard drop-back passer in Matt Ryan whereas serving because the Falcons’ offensive coordinator previous to taking up as head coach for San Francisco, and Fields’ dual-threat expertise and grit are undeniably intriguing, particularly in Shanahan’s offense (extra on this later). Nonetheless, with incumbent starter Jimmy Garoppolo nonetheless on the roster, the 49ers have time to develop a quarterback ought to they need to accomplish that.

Lance has some Patrick Mahomes-like throws on tape, and I do know scouts who assume he – not presumptive No. 1 general decide Trevor Lawrence – is the quarterback with the best ceiling on this class. I’m an enormous fan of Shanahan’s potential to develop quarterbacks and assume the 49ers could be keen to gamble on their coach as properly.

If being as daring as John Lynch was in buying and selling 4 picks to maneuver as much as No. Three general strikes your fancy, wager on the North Dakota State darkish horse at +275 to land with the 49ers and perhaps strike gold.

4. Medicals earning money

FOX Wager has arrange 9 “Head to Head” bets pitting gamers on the similar place towards one another, playing that you simply will be unable to appropriately decide which of the Alabama wideouts will hear his title known as first Thursday or whether or not will probably be Texas A&M’s Kellen Mond, Stanford’s Davis Mills or Florida’s Kyle Trask who comes off the board first, following the so-called “Large 5” quarterbacks.

Among the many higher performs, in my view, is at cornerback, the place two professional first-round skills on the place line up reverse one another in Virginia Tech’s Caleb Farley and Northwestern’s Greg Newsome II. Each gamers have loads of medical questions that can affect their draft shares. Whereas Newsome is smaller than Farley and has missed a minimum of three video games in every of his three seasons at Northwestern, his accidents have been comparatively minor, and he has by no means needed to endure surgical procedure. Farley, then again, has had three of them, together with one in March on his again and one other to restore a torn ACL suffered on a non-contact drill in 2017.

I believe the specialists are backing the unsuitable cornerback on this one, with Farley (-200) the favourite to be drafted forward of Newsome, a greater athlete than we usually see coming from Northwestern and a worth at +145.

3. Customized bets: Do you belief my mock draft?

FOX Wager presents 32 personalized wager choices, together with one by which you would need to get 5 gamers chosen within the right order: Lawrence first general (a decide at present owned by the Jaguars), BYU’s Zach Wilson at No. 2 (New York Jets), Fields at No. 3 (San Francisco 49ers), Oregon left deal with Penei Sewell at No. 5 (Cincinnati Bengals) and Penn State linebacker Micah Parsons going ninth general (Denver Broncos).

This prop is especially intriguing to me, because it follows the precise order I’ve in my April 15 three-round mock draft.

Lawrence is as near a positive factor for No. 1 general as you’re ever going to search out in an NFL draft, and BYU’s Wilson to the Jets is seen by many as a digital lock as properly. With all due respect to Jones, Fields is a greater match within the rollout recreation Shanahan has most popular prior to now. His accuracy on the transfer is much superior to that of Jones, and Fields proved his mettle towards elite competitors courting to highschool, not like the beforehand talked about Lance.

The Bengals might choose to reunite Joe Burrow with Ja’Marr Chase at No. 5 general, however defending their quarterback from the dominant edge rushers of the AFC North ought to be precedence No. 1, and Sewell is particular.

I actually just like the match of Parsons in Denver with defensive-minded head coach Vic Fangio, and my instincts weren’t unsuitable two years in the past, once I appropriately forecast in the same prop bets article that then-GM John Elway would fall for strong-armed Missouri quarterback Drew Lock.

This wager is actually a five-pick parlay, and that carries loads of threat, however there’s a important reward at +1300. A $25 wager would land you a cool $350 return if the whole lot labored out.

2. Using the unicorn to the financial institution?

The hardest a part of projecting the NFL draft is accounting for trades, which may (and assuredly will) throw a wrench into the whole lot sooner or later.

In my conversations with golf equipment not too long ago, the participant producing essentially the most buzz in potential trade-ups is definitely Florida’s star pass-catcher, Kyle Pitts, affectionately known as a “unicorn” by some expertise evaluators due to his unbelievable package deal of dimension, velocity and catch radius.

One isn’t going to have the ability to ship the youngsters away to school with Pitts’ line at -154, however a $50 wager would return $82.50. If Chase (+245) or Sewell (+320) is extra your model, that very same $50 wager would get you $172.50 or $210.00 if the NFL groups play alongside.

1. Betting on Bama’s ballers to get picked first

Years in the past, I had a normal supervisor rationalize his collection of an inside offensive lineman within the first spherical with the easy reality that one isn’t fired for drafting a Professional Bowler.

Following that very same “Maintain It Easy, Silly” technique, it seems like simple cash to position bets on Alabama’s Najee Harris (-182) and Patrick Surtain II (-250) to be the primary gamers drafted at working again and cornerback, respectively. One isn’t going to get wealthy with this wager, however a $50 wager on each (for a complete of $100) would return a reasonably protected funding, with a further $47.50 of revenue in your pocket.

One of the vital acknowledged names within the trade, Rob Rang has been overlaying the NFL Draft for greater than 20 years, with work at FOX, Sports activities Illustrated, CBSSports.com, Yahoo, USA Right this moment, NFL.com and NFLDraftscout.com, amongst others.


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